Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
186 Texas Southern 0.0%   18 - 13 16 - 2 18 - 13 16 - 2 -1.5      +0.8 153 -2.3 230 68.4 219 -2.2 199 +1.4 1
242 Southern 100.0%   16   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 -4.7      -3.7 272 -1.1 198 72.4 116 -3.1 211 -7.8 4
261 Jackson St. 0.0%   17 - 15 12 - 6 17 - 15 12 - 6 -6.2      -8.0 331 +1.8 120 70.5 158 -6.5 264 -6.1 3
295 Alabama St. 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 9 12 - 17 9 - 9 -8.8      -4.7 291 -4.1 281 72.9 101 -8.8 293 -10.2 5
313 Alcorn St. 0.0%   13 - 15 13 - 5 13 - 15 13 - 5 -10.2      -5.4 308 -4.9 300 67.4 244 -8.0 285 -3.9 2
315 Alabama A&M 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 12 10 - 18 6 - 12 -10.3      -3.6 268 -6.7 328 64.1 311 -11.6 319 -14.5 9
335 Prairie View 0.0%   7 - 24 7 - 11 7 - 24 7 - 11 -13.4      -10.7 343 -2.7 247 71.0 148 -14.1 339 -12.5 6
341 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   8 - 27 6 - 12 8 - 27 6 - 12 -14.4      -9.7 341 -4.6 294 77.7 38 -14.1 340 -13.9 8
344 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   8 - 25 6 - 12 8 - 25 6 - 12 -14.9      -11.5 348 -3.4 263 63.6 323 -12.8 328 -13.9 7
346 Grambling St. 0.0%   4 - 24 4 - 14 4 - 24 4 - 14 -15.3      -11.2 345 -4.0 279 65.7 284 -18.4 349 -17.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 1.0 100.0
Southern 4.0 100.0
Jackson St. 3.0 100.0
Alabama St. 5.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 2.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 7.0 100.0
Prairie View 6.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 7.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7.0 100.0
Grambling St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 16 - 2 100.0
Southern 11 - 7 100.0
Jackson St. 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama St. 9 - 9 100.0
Alcorn St. 13 - 5 100.0
Alabama A&M 6 - 12 100.0
Prairie View 7 - 11 100.0
Mississippi Valley 6 - 12 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 12 100.0
Grambling St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0
Southern
Jackson St.
Alabama St.
Alcorn St.
Alabama A&M
Prairie View
Mississippi Valley
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Grambling St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 100.0% 82.5% 59.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 59.1% 0.6 40.9 59.1
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0